在中共對台試射飛彈10週年前夕，中華民國國防部透露，在1995年到1996年共軍7次演習中，最引人注意的是1996年3月8日到15日之間的第5次演習。其間共發射4枚東風15型飛彈，3枚落在台灣南部高雄外海，另外1枚落在北部基隆外海。
李前總統則在1996年總統大選選舉過程中對民眾表示，「政府有18套劇本可以因應危機」，並稱中共飛彈是「空包彈」。成為經典語錄。
江李另一次重大交手則是李前總統於1999年7月9日接受德國之聲（DW）錄影專訪時，提出「特殊國與國關係」論述，通稱「兩國論」。
李前總統表示，1991年修憲後，中華民國政府已將國家領土範圍限定於台、澎、金、馬，正副總統與國會議員也僅由台灣選出，也承認中華人民共和國的合法性。台灣和中國大陸的關係早就已經是「國家與國家」，或「至少是特殊的國與國的關係」，而非「一合法政府、一叛亂團體」，或「一中央政府、一地方政府」的內部關係，因此無需宣布獨立。
2位美國駐北京前大使芮效儉（J. Stapleton Roy）及尚慕杰（James R. Sasser）也曾在事後表示，克里斯多福先向中方保證，不會允許李登輝訪美；但隨後，美國總統柯林頓（William Jefferson Clinton）在國會壓力下，違反承諾，讓李登輝訪美，破壞中美高層的互信基礎。
1996年3月，中華民國首次舉辦總統直選。凡此種種，江澤民簡直跳腳到不行。
在中共鷹派的鼓動下，大陸官方媒體新華社於1995年7月18日發出新聞，宣布共軍的二砲部隊將於7月21日至28日間，舉行飛彈試射演習，目標對準距離基隆港約56公里的彭佳嶼海域附近。
共軍從1995年7月起舉行密集軍事演習，企圖影響1995年12月的立委選舉，以及1996年3月台灣第一次的總統大選，被稱為「1996飛彈試射危機」或「1996台海危機」。
當時台海情勢緊張，美國先後在1995年12月19日指派尼米茲號航空母艦（USS Nimitz）戰鬥群通過台灣海域；1996年3月8日，再派獨立號航空母艦（USS Independence）戰鬥群在台灣東北海域部署；接著1996年3月11日，美國海軍自波斯灣加派尼米茲號航空母艦戰鬥群前往台灣東部海域，與獨立號航空母艦戰鬥群會合。
1995年1月30日，時任中國共產黨中央委員會總書記的江澤民發表「為促進祖國統一大業的完成而繼續奮鬥」的講話，提到「堅持一個中國的原則，是實現和平統一的基礎和前提」、「努力實現和平統一，中國人不打中國人」等8項主張，通稱「江八點」。
李登輝於同年4月8日提出「在兩岸分治的現實上追求中國統一」、「兩岸平等參與國際組織，雙方領導人藉此自然見面」的「李六條」，回應「江八點」。
李前總統任內推動「務實外交」逐步收穫成果，接著推動訪美。雖然以國務院為首的美國政府部門不同意，但台灣聘僱華府大型公關公司卡西迪對美遊說，各主要報紙的社論和評論均對李前總統訪問表達支持，主張發簽證給李前總統；最後美國眾議院以396票對0票、參議院以97票對1票，贊成發給簽證。
1995年6月9日，李登輝以私人身分訪美，並以校友身分在美國康乃爾大學發表「民之所欲 長在我心」的演講。
長期主管大陸外交的故副總理錢其琛回憶職業生涯的「外交十記」一書中說，1995年美國宣布李登輝將訪美一事「令人震驚」，因為就在1個月前，時任美國國務卿克里斯多福（Warren Minor Christopher）還親口對錢其琛承諾，不會讓李登輝訪美。此事造成美國與大陸關係倒退。
李登輝與江澤民多次過招 18套劇本因應台海飛彈危機
新加坡已故開國總理李光耀在2011年出版的「我一生的挑戰：新加坡雙語之路」書中透露，時任總統李登輝1994年5月在新加坡停留時，曾要求時任總理吳作棟代他向江澤民提出，由兩岸及新加坡聯合成立國際船運公司，負責處理兩岸貿易。
李光耀在書中指出，他於當年10月訪問大陸，與江討論這議題時，江沒有接受，還對李十分不滿。
原來當年4月，李登輝接受日本小說家司馬遼太郎訪問時，將自己比喻成為聖經當中帶領以色列人離開埃及的摩西，將人民帶到許諾之地。這讓江非常生氣，情緒激動、滔滔不絕地斥責李。
數月後，江澤民以「江八點」為兩岸開球，李登輝則以「李六條」反手回應。
當時總統尚未民選，李登輝基調仍在「兩岸分治，追求統一」，並數度提及「炎黃子孫、骨肉兄弟」等訴諸民族情感的字眼，並強調「台灣經濟發展要把大陸列為腹地」。
https://twitter.com/thisiswenhao/status/1597803255072886784?s=46&t=cpD1SOqZOP2vi6N-a8jt1g
RT@ThisIsWenhao@twitter
An increasingly popular conspiracy theory on China's internet right now is that the US has a $500 million budget to support or even initiate nationwide anti-zero Covid protests in China. I did a little digging to find out how this conspiracy theory was created.
For the last several years, I have dismissed the 2018 election as a one-time aberration grounded in several unique factors including Tsai’s dismal approval ratings, Han’s populist rhetoric and ability to talk about China as a market in a slightly new and different way, and a strange short-term downturn in Taiwanese identity. None of those factors were present in 2022, yet the electoral results were similar. It is no longer tenable to simply brush away 2018 as an outlier.
The point here is that Hou was soaking up all the blue votes, almost all of the neutral votes, and a few of the green votes. You can see this most clearly in District 4 (Sanchong and Luzhou). This is the greenest area in New Taipei, but Hou won it by 12%, around 30,000 votes. However, in the city council races, if you add 24,000 votes won by a blue-affiliated independent candidate to the KMT total, the DPP CC candidates beat the blue CC candidates by about 30,000 votes. There was clearly some split-ticket voting going on here.
https://frozengarlic.wordpress.com/2022/11/28/reactions-to-the-2022-elections/
Reactions to the 2022 elections
Turnout is a complex phenomenon, and it seems implausible to me that the decision to vote or stay home was divided neatly along party lines. It’s more likely that this was a low turnout election in which voters of all persuasions decided to sit it out. Sure, there may have been more DPP sympathizers who stayed home, but it is far more likely that the next million people to vote would have been split 55-45 than 95-5.
https://twitter.com/deptofdefense/status/1597648217868570625?s=46&t=Yq0NzFY9Slik9_0xDMKaOw
RT@DeptofDefense@twitter.com
DoD has released the annual report to Congress on the “Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China,” known as the China Military Power Report. The report is an authoritative assessment of the Department’s pacing challenge.
pistonjw
さんがブースト
Trump dines with a Holocaust denier and it doesn’t make the front page of the New York Times. That's an example of what I call "ethics norming”: Actions that would create big scandals in the past are considered routine now. Decent people hold onto their capacity for outrage, but mainstream media think indecency by major political figures isn't news if it happens a lot.
pistonjw
さんがブースト
The division of Trust & Safety focused on child sexual exploitation was already massively overstretched, and worked very long hours to crack down on CSAM, grooming and other abusive behaviors.
Musk claims child safety is a priority for Twitter.
I spoke to people who were frustrated to see that Musk is getting credit for the takedown of some hashtags associated with child sexual abuse -- a move that had been in the works for months
RT@oliviasolon@twitter.com
https://twitter.com/oliviasolon/status/1597583047326851072?s=46&t=jmQ14A2Q4MXJWGtQCJHfkg
Elon Musk has decimated the specialist global team dedicated to tackling child sexual exploitation, leaving behind an overwhelmed skeleton crew.
This builds on @WIRED's reporting that it has just one staff member focused on this issue in Asia.
The teams in Ireland and the US are also heavily affected.
RT@tjimbo@twitter.com
https://twitter.com/tjimbo/status/1597596934667382786?s=46&t=WuDtGVR_Q_A2qL3Aswcrog
宮台さんは先程、手術が無事終わり、今ご家族が面会しています。たくさん縫わなければならず4時間の大変な手術だったようですが、今は意識もあり、ご家族とは普通に会話をされています。#宮台真司
https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20221129/k10013907521000.html
都立大 宮台真司教授が切りつけられる 逃走した男の行方捜査
29日午後4時20分ごろ、東京 八王子市の東京都立大学・南大沢キャンパスで「男性が切られた」と110番通報がありました。
警視庁などによりますと、この大学の教授で社会学者の宮台真司さん（63）が、構内の歩道上で首から血を流していて「後頭部を殴られた」と話したということです。
宮台さんは刃物のようなもので首のほか背中や腕などを切られ重傷だということで、病院に搬送されたときは意識はあり、会話はできる状態だということです。
But the US says Nato agreed this summer to label China a "challenge", and its European partners should back that up with action
“Allies [will] look to implement what they signed up to,” said @USAmbNATO, “to move from what we call assessing the problem to addressing the problem.”
https://www.ft.com/content/1ac334c2-4ef5-480e-9863-5d9f00daa16b
The coordinated lobbying push ramped up in the past few weeks, as the Biden administration seeks to leverage its support for Ukraine to strengthen its primary foreign policy goal - the containment of China - despite Russia's ongoing war in Europe
That concerted lobbying effort comes ahead of today's summit of Nato foreign ministers in Bucharest, where China is a key topic. But some European capitals are resisting a tougher approach to Beijing & others are anxious about any distraction from lending support to Kyiv
https://twitter.com/henryjfoy/status/1597478423542190080?s=46&t=WuDtGVR_Q_A2qL3Aswcrog
https://www.ft.com/content/1ac334c2-4ef5-480e-9863-5d9f00daa16b
RT@HenryJFoy@twitter.com
SCOOP - Washington is ramping up pressure on European Nato allies to harden their stance on China and support US efforts in the Indo-Pacific, as a quid pro quo for America's support for Ukraine and Europe this year
pistonjw
さんがブースト
High-profile Republican members of Congress gained tens of thousands of Twitter followers in the first few weeks of Elon Musk’s reign over the social media network, while their Democratic counterparts experienced a decline
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/11/27/musk-followers-bernie-cruz/
"This visit to Taiwan has long been a priority for the Foreign Affairs Committee," said chair of the committee, Alicia Kearns.
"The multiple challenges to security and prosperity across the globe make constructive ties between democracies, such as those enjoyed by the UK and Taiwan, all the more important."
The committee is a parliamentary body, separate from government and made up of elected lawmakers from a range of parties. It scrutinises government policy but does not have statutory powers.
The committee will hold a press conference on Dec. 2.
2022年 11月 に登録
